Wednesday, May 2, 2007

YHOO and JBLU. LET THE PROFITS RUN AND STOP THE LOSSES.

Let profits run and stop losses are two basic rules in investing and trading.However there is some variants that I like to follow. One that I classify as very good consist of close half the position when a big gain is achieved and there is some evidence for a reversal.
I use as objective number, for a big gain, a return of more than 10%. For JBLU, where we study a short position suggested with a price close to 11.5 usd,we have since January in the week chart a strong down move without any correction. For that reason the probability for a move against us increase. Additionally,we have almost 12% of return,so, with this strategy we close half the position.
Other example from our suggestions that favors the strategy presented here is YHOO. Since the price we study as a potential good entry for a long position the return achieved almost 15%, but last days some strong move occurred against us and at the moment I´m publishing my thought´s the bid price is at 28.18 usd corresponding to a loss less than 1%. if we had followed the strategy of closing half position with a big gain (more than 10%) and when we have evidence of a reversal, we still have a good result with YHOO. In this case the suggestion for a investor that remains with all the position is stop loss at a very short negative return (less than -1%). We stop with a almost null loss because the reason for the long position disappeared.
Dates of previous discussions in this blog:
JBLU 11.04.2007
YHOO 25.01.2007
Thank you for reading our thought´s and remember that they are only for illustrative/educational purposes and although our historical results are very good,no system or methodology has ever been developed that can guarantee freedom from losses.