Monday, December 11, 2006

US: soft or hard landing?

The FED is praying for a soft landing. Bernanke is threatening with a new rate increase. Unemployment is at a good level: 4.5%.

Nevertheless, the currencies traders believe in a hard landing, because of this:
  • They appear to be trading on the belief that, while US interest rates will fall in an effort to counter a slowdown, European rates will continue to rise – and, by implication, that Europe’s economic upswing has some way to go.

Pay attention, during next weeks.

2 comments:

Antonio said...

Analysts predict what is impossible: the recovering of Europe's economy even without reforms.

I think that Iraq's retreat begining will be the milestone for the upcoming of the dollar.

Anonymous said...

Who pays the dollar devaluation?